I am an academic researcher specializing in macro-structural modeling, nonlinear systems, and structural risk dynamics. My research focuses on developing the Economic Relativity Model (ERM), a macro-structural framework designed to evaluate systemic stress, regime stability, and boundary transitions in economic systems.Academic Profile & Publications:ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0007-0739-1613Li, J. (2026). Structural boundary geometry of economic crises: A damped nonlinear field model. Nonlinear Science. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nls.2026.100168Li, J. (2026). The cognitive anchor system: A structural model of self, task selection, and latent intention in human cognition. Frontiers in Psychology, 17:1763860. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2026.1763860My investment philosophy centers on the distinction between permanent leverage and conditional risk permission. Rather than attempting to predict short-term price movements or daily market timing, my quantitative approach evaluates whether the underlying macroeconomic structure justifies taking elevated equity risk. By treating equity leverage (such as SPXL, TQQQ, and SOXL) as a conditional risk budget that expands during stable structural regimes and contracts during persistent structural deterioration, the framework aims to optimize long-term risk-adjusted compounding while controlling extreme drawdown risk.To bridge theoretical research with market reality, I conduct research based on rigorous 43-quarter ex-ante tests across major U.S. index ETFs, strictly enforcing zero future data constraints and retaining all forecast errors. I am currently executing a publicly documented $1M simulated paper portfolio (paper trading) forward-validation test to observe how pre-defined macro rules perform under real-time market conditions without using live capital. I write on Seeking Alpha to share empirical insights on macro regime classification, conditional leverage, and tail-risk management, providing investors with a disciplined, structural framework for evaluating risk permission across market cycles.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
